The surge in global e-commerce could drive last-mile delivery emissions through the roof, with a predicted increase in annual parcel volume from over 315 billion in 2022 to a staggering 800 billion parcels by 2030, according to a recent study. This steep growth curve is anticipated to result in unprecedented environmental and public health impacts, disproportionately affecting communities of color and lower-income neighborhoods.
If current delivery practices continue unaltered, global e-commerce could result in the emission of up to 160 megatons of CO2/year by 2030, equivalent to the yearly CO2 emissions of 44 coal plants. This figure accounts for only part of the total environmental burden; other pollutants including nitrogen oxides (NOx), particulate matter (PM), and carbon monoxide (CO) are also expected to be emitted in large quantities, as per the study titled ‘Cost of Convenience’ by the Clean Mobility Collective (CMC) and Stand. Earth Research Group (SRG).
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